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- <text id=89TT3280>
- <link 93HT0724>
- <link 91TT0000>
- <title>
- Dec. 18, 1989: Should The U.S. Help Gorbachev?
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1989
- Dec. 18, 1989 Money Laundering
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- ESSAY, Page 94
- Should the U.S. Help Gorbachev?
- </hdr><body>
- <p>By Richard Nixon
- </p>
- <p> The headline over a recent editorial in the New York Times
- proclaimed, THE COLD WAR IS OVER. President Bush has rightly
- taken issue with that statement. But as the "spirit of Malta"
- washes over the West, he may soon find that he is a very lonely
- member of a virtually silent minority. On all sides we hear that
- Western ideas have won and that Communism has been defeated. And
- yet a Communist named Gorbachev is the most popular man in
- Europe.
- </p>
- <p> Let us take a close look at this new international
- superstar. As a Communist he is publicly dedicated not to
- renouncing Marxism, like millions of demonstrators in Eastern
- Europe, but to rejuvenating it. He is a proud Russian
- nationalist. He likes power, knows how to use it and wants to
- keep it. His political reforms, glasnost, are totally inadequate
- compared with a free society. But compared with what the Soviet
- people had before, the changes are breathtaking. His economic
- reforms, perestroika, have been an abject failure. For example,
- in the ten years of Deng Xiaoping's economic reforms, the per
- capita income of the Chinese people has doubled. In the five
- years of Gorbachev's rule, the per capita income of the Russian
- people has gone down. But while Gorbachev has only marginally
- changed the Soviet Union, he has profoundly changed the world,
- simply by saying what many in the West want to hear after
- generations of Soviet intransigence.
- </p>
- <p> Rather than just applauding what he has done, let us
- examine why. When Gorbachev came to power he found he was
- presiding over a military superpower and a Third World economic
- power. His clients in Cuba, Vietnam, Ethiopia, Angola and
- Nicaragua required huge subsidies. Afghanistan was costing lives
- as well as money. In Eastern Europe the explosive forces of
- dissent were building dangerously. The stagnant Soviet economy
- was falling further and further behind the West. Gorbachev's
- only option was to reform at home and retrench abroad.
- </p>
- <p> For two years, he temporized, trying to get a bad system to
- work better by eliminating drunkenness, corruption and
- inefficiency. This policy failed, so he adopted bolder reforms.
- His purpose was not to abandon Communism but to save it.
- Ironically, by doing so he has become the darling of Western
- intellectuals and pundits.
- </p>
- <p> As we would with any other master politician, we should
- look at Gorbachev's deeds as well as his words. One example is
- Soviet military power. He still spends 20% of his gross national
- product on defense, compared with 6% in the U.S. He has
- modernized all three legs of the Soviet strategic nuclear triad.
- Soviet superiority in tanks, chemical weapons and combat
- aircraft has been maintained and in some cases increased. The
- Soviet Union's military might is greater now than when Gorbachev
- came to power. Even if he has been sounding to some hopeful ears
- like a dove, his bristling talons still make him look like a
- hawk.
- </p>
- <p> Many observers say he inspired the changes under way in
- Eastern Europe. Some even say he encouraged them. Most ignore
- that it was Western ideals, combined with the failure of
- Communist ideals he still defends and opposition to Soviet
- domination he represents, which brought millions into the
- streets. It is true that he could have repressed the
- demonstrations, but it might not have worked and would have
- inevitably derailed his brilliant diplomatic blitzkrieg aimed
- at psychologically disarming the West. Instead, he is now
- getting credit for developments he could not contain.
- </p>
- <p> Should we help Gorbachev? If so, how?
- </p>
- <p> A leading foreign policy analyst concluded bluntly, "We
- should help those in the Soviet Union who are doing the right
- thing." But is Gorbachev really a convert to those ideals we
- consider the "right things" -- political pluralism, individual
- rights and a free-market economy? Whoever believes that will
- believe Santa Claus is bringing my grandchildren the $150
- Nintendo sets I am buying them for Christmas.
- </p>
- <p> Gorbachev has changed, but it is a change of the head, not
- the heart. At a time when he is using his head, we should not
- lose ours. In providing help for Gorbachev, we should adhere to
- a fundamental principle. If his ultimate goal is to make life
- better for the Soviet people, we should help him. But we should
- not help him if his ultimate goal is to make life more difficult
- for the West by using Western subsidies to build an economically
- and militarily stronger Soviet Union with the same aggressive
- foreign policy.
- </p>
- <p> His economic reforms will not work unless they are
- radically expanded. As Andrei Sakharov put it, "In the absence
- of radical reforms in the Soviet system, credits and
- technological aid will only prop up an ailing system and delay
- the advent of democracy."
- </p>
- <p> What will work? Only policies the West takes for granted
- but that could weaken Gorbachev's grip on power -- lifting
- price controls, encouraging more entrepreneurism, decentralizing
- economic decision making.
- </p>
- <p> If the reforms do go far enough to work, it is still not in
- our interest to help Gorbachev unless his foreign policy
- becomes less aggressive. Even as he issues calls for "new
- thinking," Soviet power is being applied against American
- interests in Afghanistan and El Salvador and for propping up
- anti-American regimes in Cuba, Nicaragua, North Korea and Libya.
- When Gorbachev asks the U.S. to help pay for perestroika, we
- should insist he pay for it himself by cutting his budgets for
- defense and foreign adventures.
- </p>
- <p> Is Gorbachev "for real"? Let us look again at the editorial
- page of the New York Times: "One week ago Russia came of age.
- She allowed her people all the fun and trappings of a real
- election -- voting not publicly by show of hands but in private
- in red-curtained booths behind closed doors." Most people would
- assume that editorial had been written about Gorbachev's Russia
- in 1989. In fact, it was written about Stalin's Russia in the
- 1930s. Gorbachev is certainly not a Stalinist, but he is also
- just as certainly not a Jeffersonian democrat. We should examine
- his motives just as coldly as he is examining ours.
- </p>
- <p> I do not question his sincerity. He is profoundly sincere
- in wanting to rescue the Soviet system from a terminal illness.
- He has been bold and courageous in pursuing that goal. We should
- help him -- but only if his reforms go far enough to have a
- chance to succeed and if, as a result, the Soviet Union becomes
- less repressive at home and less aggressive abroad.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
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